Why are so many children becoming short-sighted?
Half the world may be short-sighted by 2050. Trials show more time outdoors cuts new cases in children, whatever they do there.
It's in the same range as other major risks. Pooled studies of millions of people find that loneliness, social isolation and living alone each raise the risk of dying early by roughly 26 to 32%. The body treats being cut off as a threat, and the change shows up down to which genes switch on.
In 2010, psychologist Julianne Holt-Lunstad and colleagues pooled 148 studies that followed 308,849 people over time. People with stronger social relationships were 50% more likely to be alive at the end of the studies than people with weaker ones. The result held across ages, sexes, starting health and causes of death. The authors concluded the effect is comparable to well-known risks for early death, such as smoking and drinking.
A second review in 2015 split the problem into three parts:
| Measure | What it means | Higher risk of early death |
|---|---|---|
| Social isolation | Few contacts, measured from outside | 29% |
| Loneliness | Feeling disconnected, whatever the number of contacts | 26% |
| Living alone | Household size | 32% |
Feeling alone mattered about as much as being alone. The link was stronger in people under 65, not weaker.
The kind of connection matters too. In the 2010 review, the strongest link came from measures of how woven into a network of people someone was: family, friends, groups, neighbours. Simply sharing a house showed the weakest link. Having people around is not the same as belonging among them.
These studies follow people; they don't assign loneliness at random. Some of the link may run the other way, since illness can isolate people. But the studies controlled for starting health, and the pattern held.
You can live alone and feel well connected, or sit in a full office and feel invisible. Researchers treat these as two things: isolation is the number of people around you, and loneliness is the gap between the contact you have and the contact you need. Both carry risk.
In 2007, a team led by Steve Cole at UCLA and John Cacioppo at the University of Chicago compared white blood cells from people who had felt lonely for years with cells from people who hadn't. In the lonely group:
The study was small, with 14 people, but later research built on it. One explanation is evolutionary: for a social animal alone, injury is the bigger danger, so the body primes for wounds rather than for the viruses that spread in groups. Kept up for years, that setting feeds the long-term inflammation behind heart disease and diabetes.
A 2011 review of loneliness programmes sorted them into four kinds: teaching social skills, adding support, creating more chances to meet people, and changing how lonely people read social situations. In the better-designed trials, only the last worked consistently.
The researchers' explanation: loneliness sharpens the mind's watch for rejection. Lonely people tend to read neutral faces and silences as unfriendly, then pull back first. More invitations don't help if every one feels like a risk. Changing that reading, often with talking therapy, gives the next invitation a chance.
In 2023, the US Surgeon General issued an advisory, Our Epidemic of Loneliness and Isolation, calling social connection an underrated part of public health. It asks governments and employers to build what it calls social infrastructure: parks, libraries and places where people meet, and policies that leave time for each other.
Trust between people grows from seeing the same faces again and again. Long commutes, unpredictable shifts and streets with nowhere to stop all get in the way.
Half the world may be short-sighted by 2050. Trials show more time outdoors cuts new cases in children, whatever they do there.
The "chemical imbalance" story is too simple. A quarter of people with depression have raised inflammation, and diet and exercise ease symptoms in trials.
Experts say seven hours or more; hunter-gatherers get about six and a half. Why both are true, and why the timing of sleep matters as much as its length.