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Photo: Beyond My Ken, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons
Yes, for keeping people housed. In the largest trial, people given a home first spent 73% of their time stably housed, against 32% for people in usual services. It pays for most of itself in the highest-need group. It does not, on its own, cure addiction or mental illness.
For decades most services ran a "staircase". A person moves from the street to a shelter, then to transitional housing, and earns a permanent home by staying sober, taking treatment and following rules. Each step is a test, and failing one sends them back down.
Housing First turns that around. The person gets a permanent home, with an ordinary lease, straight away. Support for health, drugs, money and work is offered and stays available, but keeping the home does not depend on taking it.
The idea is simple: it is hard to get well, or keep a job, with nowhere safe to sleep.
Pathways to Housing in New York took people with serious mental illness straight off the street into their own scattered apartments, with a support team. Over five years, 88% of its tenants stayed housed. In the city's residential treatment system, which required people to show they were ready, 47% did.
The At Home/Chez Soi project enrolled more than 2,000 homeless people with mental illness in five cities: Vancouver, Winnipeg, Toronto, Montréal and Moncton. It randomly assigned them to Housing First or to the services already available, then followed them for two years. Random assignment is what makes the result trustworthy: the two groups started out alike.
| Outcome | Housing First | Usual services |
|---|---|---|
| Share of time stably housed over two years | 73% | 32% |
The cost findings matter as much. For high-need participants, every $10 spent on Housing First saved an average of $9.60 in other services: hospitals, shelters, police and courts. For the top 10% of service users, every $10 spent saved more than $21.
So for the people costing the system most, housing them was cheaper than leaving them homeless.
Finland is the country that made Housing First national policy. From 2008 its programme to reduce long-term homelessness converted shelters into permanent flats with their own leases, built new homes, and attached support.
By the end of the programme in 2015, long-term homelessness had fallen 35%. Finland's housing agency counted 1,010 long-term homeless people in 2024.
Finland also shows the limits. In 2024 the number of homeless people living alone rose for the first time since 2012, by 377 to 3,806. Housing First needs a steady supply of affordable homes. When supply tightens, the numbers move.
A 2020 systematic review in The Lancet Public Health pulled together the trials of permanent supportive housing in rich countries. It confirmed large gains in housing stability. It did not find that Housing First produced better mental health, physical health or substance use outcomes than the treatment available in the community.
That is worth saying plainly, because both sides misuse it.
The staircase asked people to get well first and be housed later. The trials show people do no better on health when made to wait, and far worse on housing.
The costs fall in one budget and the savings in others. A housing department pays the rent; the savings turn up in hospital, police and prison budgets. Unless someone counts across all of them, Housing First looks like a new expense rather than a cheaper way to spend money already being spent.
It also runs against an old instinct: that help should be earned. The evidence says the condition costs more than it saves.
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